Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak
A Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) is a soft computing method used to analyze and understand complex systems. This is particularly useful when there is a little information known about the system or no historical data is available to make a reasonable prediction about the future outcome of the underlyin...
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| Формат: | Стаття |
| Мова: | Англійська |
| Опубліковано: |
Discover Public Health
2025
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| Предмети: | |
| Онлайн доступ: | https://repository.auw.edu.bd/handle/123456789/1511 |
| _version_ | 1857448809268772864 |
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| author | Kamrujjaman, Md |
| author_facet | Kamrujjaman, Md |
| author_sort | Kamrujjaman, Md |
| collection | institutional Repository |
| description | A Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) is a soft computing method used to analyze and
understand complex systems. This is particularly useful when there is a little
information known about the system or no historical data is available to make a
reasonable prediction about the future outcome of the underlying system. This study
focuses on the development of a fuzzy cognitive map to predict the risk of malaria
outbreak (RMO) in a particular region based on the impact of 15 different factors
classified as environmental factors, demographic factors, socioeconomic factors and
human habitual factors (EDSH). The results show that the system converges to the
same equilibrium point regardless of how the initial conditions are chosen. This study
is very effective when exact numerical data is not available, especially, during the
initial stage of malaria transmission. Therefore, using the knowledge and experience
of experts properly, this study can be of great help to public health authorities to
make a reasonable prediction of the risk of malaria outbreak. |
| format | Article |
| id | 123456789-1511 |
| institution | Asian University for Women |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publisher | Discover Public Health |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | 123456789-15112026-02-18T06:15:28Z Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak Kamrujjaman, Md Malaria, Fuzzy Cognitive Map, Recursive equation, Causal relationship A Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) is a soft computing method used to analyze and understand complex systems. This is particularly useful when there is a little information known about the system or no historical data is available to make a reasonable prediction about the future outcome of the underlying system. This study focuses on the development of a fuzzy cognitive map to predict the risk of malaria outbreak (RMO) in a particular region based on the impact of 15 different factors classified as environmental factors, demographic factors, socioeconomic factors and human habitual factors (EDSH). The results show that the system converges to the same equilibrium point regardless of how the initial conditions are chosen. This study is very effective when exact numerical data is not available, especially, during the initial stage of malaria transmission. Therefore, using the knowledge and experience of experts properly, this study can be of great help to public health authorities to make a reasonable prediction of the risk of malaria outbreak. 2025-10-20T10:43:34Z 2025-10-20T10:43:34Z 10/19/2025 Article https://repository.auw.edu.bd/handle/123456789/1511 en application/pdf Discover Public Health |
| spellingShingle | Malaria, Fuzzy Cognitive Map, Recursive equation, Causal relationship Kamrujjaman, Md Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| title | Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| title_full | Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| title_fullStr | Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| title_full_unstemmed | Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| title_short | Edsh effects on RMO: development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| title_sort | edsh effects on rmo development of a fuzzy cognitive map for anticipating the risk of malaria outbreak |
| topic | Malaria, Fuzzy Cognitive Map, Recursive equation, Causal relationship |
| url | https://repository.auw.edu.bd/handle/123456789/1511 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kamrujjamanmd edsheffectsonrmodevelopmentofafuzzycognitivemapforanticipatingtheriskofmalariaoutbreak |